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The opening line for this Elite Eight clash had Houston favored by 4.5 points, but early action on Tennessee quickly adjusted the number down to -3.0 across most books. Now that the line has settled at a key number, backing the red-hot Cougars feels like a strong value play. Houston enters this matchup riding a 16-game winning streak, with 15 of those wins coming by margins greater than three points.
From a numbers perspective, two key stats jump off the page. First, Houston leads the entire country in three-point shooting percentage at an impressive 39.8%. If they can hit from long range at an average rate, that likely gives them the edge. But if the Cougars catch fire from deep, they have the tools to pull away and cover comfortably—potentially winning by double digits.
Tennessee’s offense has shown growth down the stretch, but this will be their toughest test to date. Houston's defense ranks No. 1 in adjusted efficiency, surrendering just 88.0 points per 100 possessions. If the Cougars bring their usual intensity on the defensive end and shoot even moderately well from beyond the arc, they should be in a strong position to cash a ticket and advance. Take Houston ATS
From a numbers perspective, two key stats jump off the page. First, Houston leads the entire country in three-point shooting percentage at an impressive 39.8%. If they can hit from long range at an average rate, that likely gives them the edge. But if the Cougars catch fire from deep, they have the tools to pull away and cover comfortably—potentially winning by double digits.
Tennessee’s offense has shown growth down the stretch, but this will be their toughest test to date. Houston's defense ranks No. 1 in adjusted efficiency, surrendering just 88.0 points per 100 possessions. If the Cougars bring their usual intensity on the defensive end and shoot even moderately well from beyond the arc, they should be in a strong position to cash a ticket and advance. Take Houston ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 30th 2025 2:20 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 30th 2025 2:20 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Tennessee vs Houston with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Bryan Power 71 % Matt Severance 61 % Smart Money Sports 61 % Chris Ruffolo 57 % The Gold Sheet 75 % Cameron Picks and parlays 67 % The Lock Club 56 % Action Bet Covers 60 % Marco D'Angelo 57 % Brian Bitler 71 % Brad Francis 56 % Ron Romanelli 57 % Executive 100 %
Tennessee
Houston SPREAD
Tennessee 3.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Thomas Casale
W%: 56
ROI: 3
Josh Schonwald
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Action Bet Covers
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Brian Bitler
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Brad Francis
W%: 51
ROI: -7
Elite Sports Picks
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Jimmy Adams
W%: 47
ROI: -13
Jason Fragomeni
W%: 51
ROI: -5
Billy Coleman
W%: 47
ROI: -11
Black Widow
W%: 49
ROI: -7
SPREAD
Houston -3.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
Micah Roberts
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Cameron Picks and parlays
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Max Turner
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Marc Lawrence
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Marco D'Angelo
W%: 52
ROI: -5
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
The Gold Sheet
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Brandon Lang
W%: 45
ROI: -14
The Lock Club
W%: 49
ROI: -7
August Young
W%: 54
ROI: 1
Executive
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Bob Konarski (BurghBets)
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Josh Nagel
W%: 47
ROI: -11
MONEY
Tennessee 135 AVG MONEY W%: 47 ROI: -4
MONEY
Houston -155 AVG MONEY W%: 54 ROI: -3
Matt Severance
W%: 56
ROI: -6
Bryan Power
W%: 49
ROI: -8
Oliver Zivic
W%: 56
ROI: 5
William Burns
W%: 54
ROI: -1
TOTAL
UNDER 127.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -4
Drew Martin
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Max Turner
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Drew Phelps
W%: 51
ROI: -1
TOTAL
OVER 127.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -7
Cajun Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -9
Jason Fragomeni
W%: 51
ROI: -5
Paul Leiner
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8
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